SELECTED PROJECTS

sidecontrol Vulnerability 2030 Primary Care 2025 Diabetes 2025 Pro-Poor Foresight Health Despair
Selected Projects B
Primary Care 2025
Learning Innovation
Pro Poor
Health Despair
Health Despair

 

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SELECTED SPEECHES AND WORKSHOPS

Health Canada – Science and Technology Foresight Workshop
In December 2009, Clem Bezold delivered a keynote speech on "Healthcare 2030" for Health Canada, the health ministry of Canada.  Dr. Bezold highlighted the significant promise from health science and health technology, such as: advances in our understanding of disease and prevention; cures for cancers, diabetes, and other chronic diseases; new understanding of ageing and how to slow it down; and a recognition of social determinants of health and how to change them.  At the same time, Dr. Bezold pointed out that health care systems are unsustainable and sometimes toxic.  Both in the United States and Canada, healthcare systems are on track to break the bank.  The U.S. Medicare program is likely to be insolvent before 2020.  Provincial budgets in Canada, similar to U.S. state budgets, include significant healthcare spending as well.  For example, 42% of British Columbia's 2005 provincial budget was spent on healthcare, and by 2017 this spending is estimated to be 70%.  Regarding healthcare system toxicity, in the U.S. 98,000–200,000 people die prematurely each year because of medical errors.  And pharmaceutical use generates significant side effects and costs: in 2000 there were $148 billion in pharmaceutical sales in the U.S. and an estimated $177 billion spent on healthcare expenses from pharmaceutical use in the ambulatory setting.

HEALTHCARE SYSTEM

IAF has worked on the future of the healthcare system from every perspective: consumers, providers, payers, regulators, and industry. As the U.S. healthcare system continues its evolution and as new technologies enter the sector, IAF helps clients understand the potential futures that lie ahead.

PROJECTS

Primary Care 2025: A Scenario Exploration

IAF has developed a set of scenarios describing the alternative futures of primary care in the U.S. in the year 2025.  Policy-makers can use the scenarios to help them anticipate changes that affect policy and legislation. Health care providers can use the scenarios as a basis for strategic thinking and to help ensure that they are working toward their preferred future of primary care.  IAF also created a scenario toolkit for organizations to consider the implications of the Primary Care 2025 Scenarios for their own strategies and operations. The project was supported by a grant from the Kresge Foundation. The report and toolkit are available here.

Community Health Centers Leveraging the Social Determinants of Health

With support from the Kresge Foundation and in partnership with the National Association of Community Health Centers, IAF explored the ways in which community health centers across the nation are addressing the social, economic, and physical conditions that contribute to poor health among the patients they serve.  The report, a database of cases, case studies, and other materials are available here.

Diabetes 2025 – U.S., State, and Metropolitan Trends

The Institute for Alternative Futures (IAF) has prepared estimates of the burden of diabetes in the years 2000, 2010, 2015 and 2025, for each of the 50 states plus 13 major metropolitan areas. Commissioned by Novo Nordisk, this free and easy-to-navigate data source can be used by policy makers and legislators, reporters, members of the diabetes community, and the general public. Click here to learn how this growing epidemic could affect your region though our interactive map and briefing papers.

PUBLICATIONS

2019 Healthcare That Works For All

In order to stimulate the health policy community with a clear picture of what successful healthcare reform will look like, IAF offers 2019 Healthcare That Works For All.  This series of papers describes how different aspects of healthcare can improve through a ten year change process.  We invite readers to challenge this view of the preferred future for healthcare by thinking about what might be even better.  Click here to visit the overview page and read the papers.

Complementary and Alternative Approaches in U.S. Health Care

Studies have shown that between 33 and 69 percent of Americans use some form of alternative therapy, most often paying "out of pocket" for the care. IAF produced two major reports. One, The Future of Complementary and Alternative Approaches (CAAs) in U.S. Health Care, examines a wide range of trends bringing about major changes in health and health care and then considers the future of three different CAAs: chiropractic, Oriental medicine, and homeopathy. The second, The Future of Chiropractic: Optimizing Health Gains, covers similar territory but focuses on the chiropractic profession. Made possible by a grant from the National Chiropractic Mutual Insurance Company, the reports include IAF's recommendations for health care systems, policymakers, and health care professionals (both conventional and alternative).

Guidebook for Nurse Futurists

IAF prepared this futures guidebook for the International Council of Nurses’ (ICN) 100th anniversary.  The Guidebook contains ICN’s Vision for the Future of Nursing and a wealth of information on trends affecting the profession, as well as instructions for conducting participatory strategic thinking exercises.  Click here for the Guidebook.